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no the bet is lost on every count

1 it's not fully autonomous, there's a remote operator

2 not a wide enough service area as defined in the bet

3 it's a pilot program, also excluded in the bet

4 it's also a year late and the bet is very much still lost

lol but we're going to have self driving cars by 2015 guys!

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This specific bet is very targeted, but we do absolutely have commerciallly available self-driving cars in 2025 in several cities, and the list of cities is rapidly expanding.

An 8-10 year delay from expectations is not too bad all things considered.

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Is the remote operator actually driving under normal conditions, or do they just step in during an exigent circumstance?
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The latter, there's an article about this particularly [1]

[1] https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/09/03/technology/zo...

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The latter.
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