> It shows a remarkably consistent curve for AI completing increasingly difficult coding tasks over time.

I'm not convinced that "long" is equivalent to "difficult". Traditional computer can also solve tasks that would take extemely long for humans, but that doesn't make them intelligent.

This is not to say that this is useless, quite the opposite! Traditional computers shown that being able to shorten the time needed for certain tasks is extremely valuable, and AI shown this can be extender to other (but not necessarily all) tasks as well.

Wouldn’t actual “AGI” require an ~80 year timeframe ;)? After all most humans are able to achieve the task of “survival” over that period.