https://www.anthropic.com/research/assistant-axis
The estimated energy consumption versus error rate is likely projected from agent test and hidden-agent coverage.
You are correct, in that such a big number likely includes large errors itself given models change daily. =3
although the word "energy" does not appear on that page, not sure where you get the galaxy energy consumption from
LLM are not "AI", and unlikely ever will be due to that cost... but Neuromorphic computing is a more interesting area of study. =3