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Well, there's a limit to how small we can make transistors with our current technology. As I understand it, Intel is already running into those limits with their new CPUs (they had to redesign the fins IIRC). I can imagine that without an actual breakthrough in chip manufacturing the size could stay large. That's not to say that a breakthrough won't happen, though.
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That's the part that people are missing: it won't get smaller. It already required heroic optimization to get 8B on one megachip. Taalas is more expensive but faster. It is cheaper per token when running 24x7 but not cheap to buy. It will never be small and never be cheap.
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"It will never be small and never be cheap."

Will your comment age well? We'll see.

We might all be surprised if (somehow, ternary logic?) models come down drastically in size. It doesn't have to be the hardware getting more dense.

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