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Or they'll settle with Meta in a few years for a small fee with no admission of wrongdoing to save face.
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Meta is actually at a huge disadvantage here. The IRS has a litigation success rate of 93%. It's an astoundingly successful legal entity.
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That's a success rate that largely is based on suing people who don't have the resources to fight it (no claims made about if they're right or not).

However, the IRS has had reductions in staff and funding which made it harder to go after the bigger accounts who have more forensic accounting needing to be done to find the money in the various tax shelters.

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/irs-faces-challenges-in-...

> "The IRS is simultaneously confronting a reduction of 27% of its workforce, leadership turnover, and the implementation of extensive and complex tax law changes" mandated by Republicans' tax and spending measure that President Donald Trump signed into law last summer, Collins said in her report.

https://www.americanprogress.org/article/the-fiscal-impact-o... (May 2025)

> The Global High Wealth department of the IRS is designed to audit ultrawealthy individuals and corporations, who often hire highly sophisticated tax advisors to devise ways to avoid taxes and to respond to the IRS if they are challenged. But, as of late March, the department was cut by nearly 40 percent—and likely more by now with the additional RIFs.

I would be willing to contend that while they've got a 93% overall, that's historical numbers and the teams that would go against Meta and others are severely understaffed.

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Man who spent career evading taxes weakens tax collection system. Who would have thunk it?
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While he's the most recent one, it's been a systemic problem that's largely been from congressional budget cuts.

2014 The War on the IRS https://taxpolicycenter.org/taxvox/war-irs

2015 Poor IRS Service Reflects Congress’s Deep Funding Cuts https://www.cbpp.org/research/federal-tax/poor-irs-service-r...

2018 How the IRS Was Gutted https://www.propublica.org/article/how-the-irs-was-gutted

2020 Congressional Budget Office Confirms That IRS Budget Cuts Lose Money and Benefit the Rich https://itep.org/congressional-budget-office-confirms-that-i...

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What's the success rate when data is limited to only very large companies, say top 50 in size?
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Or they weren't happen with the amount of bribe money we already know they paid, and so now they're being made an example of. Standard Mob protocol.
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Happy you state the obvious side quest. But they're not made an example of.
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>..withdrawn directives to auditors to crack down on aggressive tax shelters..

The above might be a salient point, but as for the 1/4 auditors lost and the rest:

The low income (under 25k) with EITC, were the largest audited group with 298,485 of 626,204 audits performed in 2022. The rest of those earning under 200k had 250,391 audits.[] 48% of audits were under 25k income w/ EITC. 87% of audits were people under 200k income.

Kind of interferes with the idea these audits were all about going after the "rich buddies." They were way more about going after the poor than they were about going after the rich.

[] IRS management audit reports obtained via FOIA by via TRAC / https://tracreports.org/reports/706/

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This has been debunked as these are just data matching audits as EITC is full of fraud with an estimated 30% of over claiming and improper payments by taxpayers.
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And I would estimate 30% of people using tax shelters are underpaying their taxes. If there's profitable work to do for tax auditors, hire more auditors and cover both problems.
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Even if you change the view to it's mostly the poor who are the tax scammers it doesn't degrade the counterpoints that these auditors were by far mostly going after the middle class and poor -- you're just asserting the poors are *disproportionately tax cheats that perhaps deserve it.

*edit: since my words were take in bad faith

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They wrote a program years ago to data match EITC, little to no extra manpower from the IRS is needed, that is the point.
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I think you're strawmanning a bit. They're not saying poor people are tax cheats, just that tax cheats tend to be poor. This makes sense for the same reasons other types of crime are also associated with poverty. This is not to say that wealthy people do not also evade taxes, but they do so in ways that are harder to catch and prosecute. You're implying that going after poor people is some sort of classist discrimination but I think it's far more likely that there are good reasons for it.
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Or just that there are more poor people. Say 10% of all people are tax cheats, evenly across income. The top 1% who are the rich is much smaller than the bottom 50% who are the poor. So in absolute numbers there will be far more poor tax cheats than wealthy. Even if 100% of the wealthy are tax cheats, that still ends up being fewer wealthy tax cheats than poor tax cheats. Anything involving absolute numbers of audits is going to be skewed to show more happening to the poor, because there are so many more poor people than rich people.
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Last I checked it's way closer to 28% than 48% of people that have earned income of at least $1 (thus EITC) and total income less than $25k -- which fall under the bucket of 48% of audits were for those with EITC and income under 25k. They are definitely disproportionately going after the poorest workers.
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am i missing something, or is the statistic that is used to pinpoint someone as poor, is the same statistic that is gamed here? Namely the amount of income that a person declares to the IRS?
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What percentage of that is automated audit, and what percentage is manual audit? Nowaday my country is mostly sane with tax filings, but in the weird time between the 90s and the 2010s, we had an uptick in "fraud" by low-income earners. This was caused by inconsistencies between filed data and the data the IRS equivalent had, but i guarantee you no effort was put into thsi (except secreterial manpower for the hotline/mail), that was just automated system ringing.

In fact my first college side-job was exactly that, responding to taxpayers who were "caught" by the automated system and needed a payment delay.

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There are many, many more tax returns filed by people earning under 200k adjusted gross income than those earning more, I assume. So if there's a uniform chance that a return is audited, we would expect most audits to be done on returns under that threshold.

Of course, it may not make sense to select returns uniformly at random for audits...

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Also, if tax cheating is uniform across the population, then the statement "there are more tax cheats earning under 200k" is true but wildly misleading, since "there are more taxpayers earning under 200k" is also true.
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Nowhere near 48% of the population earns enough wages for EITC but still under 25k. It's way way way way overrepresented in audits. Nearly half of the audits are aimed at the poorest workers.

------- re: below due to throttling-----------

.... they were audits according to IRS. This is from the FOIA'd audit numbers from IRS via TRAC.

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They are not audits. They are automated notices to idiots trying to claim the same child tax credit in multiple returns or hiding income(not reporting their w2 lol) to claim the EITC
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In other words, understaffed agency goes for the low hanging fruit
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Weird way to frame it. The computer does it automatically. They would do it whether they were well staffed or not.
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The computer does not do all the loopholes and tax codes automatically. If it did that would solve a lot of these problems. But we need audits in the cases companies or people lie/exaggerate/forget/etc.
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Kind of interferes with the idea these audits were all about going after the "rich buddies."

I think you misread the parent comment, who said exactly the opposite.

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Biden and democrats increased funding in order to have the resources to go after rich offenders and they were doing it successfully and earning more than it cost, but Trumpublicans immediately rescinded it. It’s all public record go look for it.
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Not sure why you're being downvoted for this comment as it's true.

Democrats increased IRS funding so it could go after more tax evaders. Conservative estimates are that eliminating tax evasion (evasion, not avoidance) by the ultra-wealthy could allow the U.S. to reduce rate brackets by 2-3% across the board while maintaining revenue.

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Yet they refused to codify the "promise" it wouldn't be used for under 400k income families. Look at what they do, not what they say. In public they make 'promises' but in statute it turns into ether, meanwhile real audit data pointing to otherwise.

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>I'm very confused about where you're going with this. Are you upset that too many rich people are getting audited, or that tax cheats under 400k income might also get audited?

... this was a direct response to parent stating increased funding was added specifically for going after rich people. Yes I would be upset if I was told they were adding new funding specifically to go after rich tax cheats but then turns out to be something like "welp actually we refuse to codify that or make anything binding that it will be used for those purposes, but for the cameras we will pinky swear it will be used for that and please don't look at the historical data for inferences."

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> Yet they refused to codify the "promise" it wouldn't be used for under 400k income families.

This is a lie. They didn't refuse. They didn't have it codified because they were trying to figure out how to define that. For example, one of the challenges IRS was having was someone reporting $390,000 but they actually earned $450,000. How do you deteremine that without an audit? Do you need a waiver? How does that get resolved without breaking the promise.

> Look at what they do, not what they say.

They were actively working on how to respect the promise in a reasonable way.

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Yep. Here are some details, for anybody interested... https://www.govexec.com/oversight/2024/09/irs-behind-biden-p...
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I'm very confused about where you're going with this. Are you upset that too many rich people are getting audited, or that tax cheats under 400k income might also get audited?
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Biden's desired policy was none of the additional funding would be used to increase audit rates for <$400k returns.

The IRS didn't follow the intended policy, getting bogged down in the details of how they would define that threshold (primarily, would somebody who understated their income to get below the threshold count as "under 400k and audited").

Not really sure why the OP is so upset - either way, the payback on additional funding to the IRS is almost universally stated as revenue-positive.

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Exactly. This is just one big tech fighting another big tech using the government as a weapon.
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Ayup. Trump was able to get a stay on a case on an "allegedly" improperly-applied tax write-off for his casino's bankruptcy. It's been in limbo at least since 2016. Ten years. This is the standard operating procedure for people at that level of wealth.

Which would suggest that perhaps that level of wealth doesn't need to exist in our society.

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> that level of wealth doesn't need to exist in our society.

But then the inquisition arrives saying this is socialism or whatever.

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True, as it is just another symptom of not too much wealth, but the growing disconnect of what wealth is designed to be. Money shouldn't be power, too many people are starting to blame "too much money" instead of asking why money is turning into political power. Seemingly none of the politicians or rich people want that narrative because they all want both.
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Has there ever been a society were money and power didn’t go hand in hand?
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Sure, societies that don't have the concept of currency. The inhabitants of the Sentinel Islands for example.

Some other societies have different ways of measuring authority and delegating power, but in general currency is more efficient and if they have to interface with the rest of the world then money will be critical. That's why money is usually a proxy for power.

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Is it even possible for money to not be power? Like, how do you separate purchasing power from influence power? Purchasing is a very easy route to influence.
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It is A form of power, but it should not have such a liquid/easy transaction to political power.
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This is an extremely common misconception (or lie, depending on who's saying it). The IRS, even before the cuts, targets exclusively the middle class.

More agents = more middle class shake downs.

63% of the IRS' audits under the Biden admin targeted those earning sub-$200K.

People earning $25K a year are MORE likely to be audited than those earning $200K, too.

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> 63% of the IRS' audits under the Biden admin targeted those earning sub-$200K.

In 2022 92.3% of filers reported income of less than $200K [0]. An audit rate of 63% is lower than what one would expect if audit-attracting behavior was evenly distributed across the population.

0. https://www.irs.gov/statistics/soi-tax-stats-individual-stat...

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The notion that audits should be evenly distributed is nonsense. Someone making sub-$200K usually has basic W2 income, versus someone making $20M a year who likely has an extremely complicated web of capital gains, deductions, strategies, carry-forward losses etc.

It doesn't even make sense from a pure cash point of view. It's better for an agent to audit someone making $20M and win a $500K judgement than it is for them to audit 1,000 $25K earners and fleece them $500 a piece. What a waste.

Audits should be exponentially lopsided, not targeted exclusively at the middle class.

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It will be very naive to believe adding IRS staff will help with that. It is far easier to audit W2 employees than dealing with mega corporations.
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It is very naïve to think adding staff won’t help. Just look at what the IRS did before staff was cut; they investigated Microsoft aggressively and announced $29 billion in back taxes for 2004 to 2013, plus penalties and interest.
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$29B over ten years is an annual amount of less than 1% of Microsoft's current annual revenue. Meanwhile the company is appealing it so the government hasn't actually won anything yet (but is incurring additional costs), and on top of that it means there is now going to be a court decision about how this works, which benefits the companies wanting to do it by clarifying the law so that even if they lose the courts will have told them what they need to do differently next time in order to win. Of course, if they win then it's even better for them because then they can just keep doing what they were doing before.

The actual problem is that "transfer pricing" is inherently ambiguous and subject to manipulation but it would take structural legislative changes to the tax code (e.g. tax corporations using something other than corporate income tax) to take it out of play.

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> It will be very naive to believe adding IRS staff will help with that. It is far easier to audit W2 employees than dealing with mega corporations.

You're saying auditing megacorps is hard, but somehow more staff won't help? I don't buy it.

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> You're saying auditing megacorps is hard, but somehow more staff won't help? I don't buy it.

It's not so much that it's hard, it's that it has a lower return on investment, because the IRS gets money from finding mistakes or intentional fraud. Megacorps have entire legal teams dedicated to preventing those things from happening, while lowering their taxes by finding lawful ways of reducing their taxes to almost nothing by pouring over the unfathomable complexity of the tax code to find obscure credits or chain together the right sequence of things so their profits end up in a jurisdiction where they're not taxed.

If you audit them you spend an enormous amount of resources because their accounts are so complicated and then only get money if they screwed up, which they're less likely to have done than someone with fewer lawyers, and even then it will typically be something like you found a credit they weren't allowed to take and they owe $50,000 but the thing where they have a hundred billion in revenue and 0.2% of that in taxable profit was all by the book.

Meanwhile smaller entities are far more likely to have screwed up because they have fewer resources to navigate the complexity of the tax code, and their accounts are less complicated, which makes it easier for the IRS to find mistakes and therefore get money. So if you give the IRS more resources and tell them to do audits to maximize recovery, those are the people they audit.

But that also involves auditing a ton of individuals and small businesses who didn't do anything wrong in order to find the ones that did, and they rightfully hate that because nobody is paying them for the actual costs of the audit where the IRS found nothing, which is why they keep lobbying to stop the IRS from getting more resources to do that to them. And if the IRS had to pay the taxpayer's side of the audit costs then their "recovery efficiency rate" would go way down.

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> It's not so much that it's hard, it's that it has a lower return on investment, because the IRS gets money from finding mistakes or intentional fraud. Megacorps have entire legal teams dedicated to preventing those things from happening

Or: Megacorps have entire teams of people looking for ways to reduce their taxes, many of which are legally dubious but the risk of being caught * the size of the fine means it makes business sense to do it regardless of legality.

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> Megacorps have entire teams of people looking for ways to reduce their taxes, many of which are legally dubious but the risk of being caught * the size of the fine means it makes business sense to do it regardless of legality.

"Legally dubious" is the problem, because ambiguous laws are supposed to be interpreted most favorably to the defendant rather than the government, and then all parties have to incur much higher costs because the ambiguity means it goes to litigation, and there is a significant chance that all of those resources are consumed and it comes out in favor of the corporation in the end. The IRS much prefers to find cases where the taxpayer is clearly violating the law.

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No, that's a contradiction of your parent comment. In your model, doing more audits would increase "the risk of being caught" and have good ROI.
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This is a moved set of goalposts from the comment I responded to -- and we know that, because the original author had already confirmed that replying to me before your comment: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47139400 .
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Both of those comments are making a consistent argument: It's easier (and I would add more cost effective) to target smaller taxpayers, so that's what the IRS typically does when given more resources.
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> It's not so much that it's hard, it's that it has a lower return on investment, because the IRS gets money from finding mistakes or intentional fraud....

Isn't this exactly what all megacorps are hoping for everyone thinks? I am not saying that you are wrong but these megacorps are some of the most evil the Civilization has ever seen (see Meta) and now you and I are hired as tax attorneys - pretty soon (if not right away) one of us will go "this shit's very much so illegal but who is actually going to audit us? - the answer, per your comment is basically no one because we think these megacorps and their lawyers are there to play by the book...

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In order for that to make sense to them, it would have to be impossible for them to avoid paying taxes without breaking the law, but the very nature of applying "corporate income tax" to an international supply chain makes that relatively straightforward.

The general problem is this. You have a company with its headquarters in Ireland that designs a product in California, manufactures it in China and sells it in Germany. In which country did they make a profit and therefore owe taxes? It depends on what each subsidiary bought from the others and how much they paid, so they're going to structure their operations so that the profit ends up in the one with the lowest taxes. That's the defect in "corporate income tax" for international companies, and why it gives international companies an advantage over domestic ones.

In order to fix that you need a tax code that says the taxes have to be paid to the country where whatever subset of their operations you want to tax is actually present. But then it's not "corporate income tax" anymore. If you want to tax them in the location they have workers it's payroll tax, if it's where they have buildings it's property tax, if it's where they have customers it's VAT, etc. You need it to be something they can't so easily move out of your jurisdiction. Because if you say that it's profit then they'll just arrange to make their profits in Ireland or Bermuda.

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Or the US could tax it's corporations just like it taxes it's citizens.

Doesn't care that the citizens pay tax in whatever country they live in. If they earn over some 6 figure sum, they have to pay tax in the US as well.

That would put US corporations at a distinct disadvantage on the global scene, so it won't happen. Disadvantaging citizens doesn't seem to matter as much.

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The thing the US does to its citizens is bizarre and atypical and it should stop doing that.

But how would that even work for a corporation? Suppose you did that; is anything multinational going to remain a US corporation? Of course not, they'll just register in some other country. The CEO of Stellantis nee Chrysler is in Michigan but how many people can guess which country the corporation is registered in without looking it up?

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The problem here is not how the US taxes corporations, but rather that there are different corporations involved. A regular citizen can not establish an additional, foreign citizen that "owns" them or "supplies" them with IP (or labor hours, &c) -- this kind of tax management accounting is not possible for citizens.
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They're not different unrelated corporations, they're subsidiaries of a parent that is ultimately a US entity.

The citizen has literally upped and moved themselves entirely to a foreign country.

The corporation has just forked a bit of itself elsewhere.

And yet the corporation can't be taxed, but the individual can.

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You still haven't answered the question: What are you going to do when Apple or Google becomes "subsidiaries of a parent that is ultimately not a US entity"? What about your proposal prevents them from registering the parent company somewhere else while changing nothing else about their operations? Making them file different paperwork doesn't accomplish anything.
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would in this case help to treat Apple and Google as foreign company? No government contracts (or super strict rules to get them), tariffs…?
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> No government contracts (or super strict rules to get them)

Now you've created a disadvantage for corporations to bid on government contracts, reducing competition and causing the government to pay more for stuff. Meanwhile the companies that actually bid are then the ones that specialize in lobbying the government and register locally and other corporations still register elsewhere.

> tariffs

If you were going to use that you could just as easily use VAT to begin with.

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foreign-owned companies already are at disadvantage (rightfully so) getting gov contracts. so if you gonna try to evade paying taxes claiming you are based in Burma the government should treat you accordingly. given that there is no bigger customer than US government the companies might re-think their Burmese HQ?
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> given that there is no bigger customer than US government the companies might re-think their Burmese HQ?

Only if the percentage of their business represented by US government contracts is more than the US corporate tax rate, i.e. only for companies like Lockheed whose business is focused on government contracts. But those are some of the largest "domestic companies" being put at a disadvantage by the existing tax system because they already can't use the same international tax avoidance strategies as other companies when they're required to use domestic supply chains by those same government contracts.

Meanwhile the companies that do lower percentages of their business with the government would just stop doing business with the government at all, causing the government to pay more for things because that company would otherwise have been the one to get the contract by being the one to offer the government the best price.

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I think they are suggesting the lack of political will to go after big companies is the bigger problem
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Of course it won’t help. If you have an audit target to meet you want target meta?

This exactly why ICE agents tends to target illegal immigrants that actually get a job and contribute to the society instead of criminals. Because the former are easy targets.

Also fundamentally the tax law in the US are intrinsically favor capital owners, especially large corporations, adding more IRS agents only cost more tax payer’s money and give regular people more headaches.

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> If you have an audit target to meet you want target meta?

I don't believe the approach the IRS takes is to set targets and only audit the lowest hanging fruit up to some target. They have different sub-organizations pursuing different goals, and some sort of vision about fairness that means going after tough cases.

> This exactly why ICE agents tends to target illegal immigrants that actually get a job and contribute to the society instead of criminals. Because the former are easy targets.

This is completely orthogonal, but also untrue. It's way easier to go after criminals, as long as states cooperate. The recent Trumpian ICE is more expensive and less effective than earlier regimes.

> adding more IRS agents only cost more tax payer’s money and give regular people more headaches.

Many, many regular people underpay the taxes they owe. Additional IRS agents help close the gap between taxes owed and taxes paid, at a cost lower than the additional revenue. Your argument is just "individual tax cheats should be able to get away with it," which I can't agree with.

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At what point does the term “regime” become an accurate description of that government rather than a derogatory label?
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When their agents execute people in the street with no repercussions.
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In that case I can't think of time my country hasn't been a regime I guess. Police have pretty much always been executing people in the streets without repercussions. Although there has been a small amount of progress recently, these days they do it on camera and still face zero repercussions much of the time.
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Yup, and the people calling it out all this time were consistently shrugged off as being hyperbolic. Still are. Always will be.
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"Regime" is mostly derogatory among the terminally online. It's an accurate description of any government, regulatory system, zone of applicability of a natural law, etc etc.
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Are you suggesting that an accurate description would not be derogatory?
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Long, long time ago. Accuracy don't matter to enough people though.
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