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Congress seems to be quite toothless lately.
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True but they will have a hard time ignoring the 22nd amendment of the US constitution and it would be an easy move to remove him from the election process which a majority of the states themselves could do without opposition.
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They might try the good old Putin trick, have a puppet elected on behalf of Trump and let Trump have another high-ranking position (e.g. Vice President) and hold the real power. Trump can still do most of campaigning, and there is also ample opportunity for election fraud.
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> Congress will let him...

Lol, 'let'. Whose going to stop him?

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Each state can decide to not list him in the election process. Some red states for sure would but plenty would not including a few red and purple states.
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In russia they had 2 terms limit as well. Putin found a quick work-around by basically running through Proxy.

I can see JD being a figurehead with very public Trump support.

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