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Donald trump addressed the Iranian people in a video message and told them to rise up when the war began.
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That was in January
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I think you're conflating the details with what he explicitly was saying on January 13th
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Did you even listen to the link you just posted? He makes very clear in his instructions to the Iranian people that they should stay sheltered as bombs will be dropping.
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Seriously, all these armchair "experts" are missing very obvious truths -

1) Every authority figure is telling the Iranian people to stay inside and wait.

2) Revolutions don't happen overnight, the same way that businesses don't succeed overnight, even though from far away it might seem that way.

3) Official Israeli statements estimate it could take up to a year after the war is over for a successful overthrow, even if everything is going according to plan.

The truth is there's a lot of people who want this war to fail, because it will align with their political convictions and hopes.

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I will predict right now that no revolution will happen. Revolutions happen because of fragmentation within the regime. If there is one thing that puts all grievances aside then that would be an existential war. Just like during the Iran-Iraq war.
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Israel does not want functional moderate goverment in Iran. It would bomb and kill anyone who tries that. Israels plan is to periodically bomb and keep Iran failed state.

It is working on making itself larger cleansing whole areas around it and settling it.

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> Israel does not want functional moderate goverment in Iran

Israel would probably be fine with a moderate government in Iran. A moderate Tehran doesn't encourage Hamas and Hezbollah to randomly lob rockets into Israel.

Even if Israel disagreed, a moderate Iran balances Israel in the region. An Iran that has beef with literally every single one of its neighbors other than Turkmenistan cannot provide that balance.

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Israel doesn't want delusional theocrats running Iran.
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It may not be in Israel's national interest having an aggressive Islamist government in Iran, but political incentives and national interest aren't always aligned.
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