2. Sure, depends on #1. But the incentive is undeniable.
3. It has. Do you think people are using Claude Code in incredible numbers for no reason?
4. The public and businesses are adopting AI en masse. It's incredibly useful. Demand is skyrocketing. I don't think you could show that negative public sentiment has been sufficient to stop this, any more than negative sentiment about TVs, headphones, bicycles, etc (which was significant).
With the exception of #1, I feel like you're arguing that things won't happen, where the numbers show they've already have happened and are accelerating.