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> What are you using today? In my experience LLMs are already pretty good at this.

LLMS are good at "find me a two week vacation two months from now"?

Or at "do my taxes"?

> how to use Cowork.

Yes, and I taught my mom how to use Apple Books, and have to re-teach her every time Apple breaks the interface.

Ask your non-tech friends what they do with and how they feel about Cowork in a few weeks.

> I think where our view differs is I expect that models will be able to get good at making custom interfaces, and then help the user personalize it to their tasks.

How many users you see personalizing anything to their task? Why would they want every app to be personalized? There's insane value in consistency across apps and interfaces. How will apps personalize their UIs to every user? By collecting even more copious amounts of user data?

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> Or at "do my taxes"?

codex did my taxes this year (well it actually implemented a normalization pipeline and a tax computing engine which then did the taxes, but close enough)

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> well it actually implemented a normalization pipeline and a tax computing engine which then did the taxes, but close enough

You can't seriously believe laymen will try to implement their own tax calculators.

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of course not.

what I believe is that laymen will put all their tax docs into codex and tell it to 'do their taxes' and the tool will decide to implement the calculator, do the taxes and present only the final numbers. the layman won't even know there was a calculator implemented.

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Yeah, good luck trusting the output!
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check back in a couple of years!
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Ah right! Reminds me of AGI by 2025 :D
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If your prompt was more complex than "do my taxes", then this is irrelevant.
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it was many hours of working with codex, guidance and comparing to known-good outputs from previous years, but a sufficiently smart model would be able to just do it without any steering; it'd still take hours, but my input wouldn't be necessary. a harness for getting this done probably exists today, gastown perhaps or something that the frontier labs are sitting on.
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> but a sufficiently smart model would be able to just do it without any steering;

Yeah, yeah, we've heard "our models will be doing everything" for close to three years now.

> a harness for getting this done probably exists today, gastown perhaps

That got a chuckle and a facepalm out of me. I would at least consider you half-serious if you said "openclaw", at least those people pretend to be attempting to automate their lives through LLMs (with zero tangible results, and with zero results available to non-tech people).

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Sounds fascinating! If you wrote an article on this I bet it'd have a good shot at making it to the home page of HN.
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> LLMS are good at "find me a two week vacation two months from now"?

Yes?

===

edit: Just tested it with that exact prompt on Claude. It asked me who I was traveling with, what type of trip and budget (with multiple choice buttons) and gave me a detailed itinerary with links to buy the flights ( https://www.kayak.com/flights/ORD-LIS/2026-06-13/OPO-ORD/202... )

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I'd love to try and replicate, but I'm not letting any of these tools anywhere near a real browser and capabilites :)
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