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I mean, the financials just don't look great either way.

Their main product is part VSCode, which is a market that's almost impossible to make money in, and part reselling already expensive LLM tokens.

You can look at more parameters and judge how well a company could do in the future. For Amazon, you can predict that once they stop growing, they can make a pretty penny.

But with Cursor that doesn't seem likely. Even if they had the talent for training models from scratch, which I don't think they do, and IF inference makes money, which is not clear at all, training models is still a huge money sink.

So, for them getting bought out by xAi which has a base model they can use makes sense. But what does xAi get here? Another endless money pit?

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they get their own platform like how Anthropic has Claude Code from which they can push out Grok and get training data (from free users or whatever)

whether that actually gets them ahead, that's another question....

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