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by james2doyle14 hours ago |
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upvoteby Petersipoi14 hours ago|
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I think the opposite. AI will get cheaper as models become more efficient and we solve the datacenter/energy problem. I bet 10 years from now AI, that is way better than what we have today, will be close to free.
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upvoteby jayd1612 hours ago|
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Just like how cloud costs got cheaper and we solved the datacenter/energy problem over the past 10 years.
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upvoteby Petersipoi9 hours ago|
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For the most part, we did, actually. We had plenty of energy and computer until AI came along.

Energy will get fully solved eventually. To think otherwise is to bet against humanities ability to innovate, which I don't think is ever a wise bet.

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upvoteby aurareturn7 hours ago|
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You can practically host a website that serves millions of users a day for nearly free using Cloudflare. Imagine doing that in the year 2000.
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upvoteby simianwords6 hours ago|
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Cloud did get cheaper. What are you saying?

I just ran a quick gpt check - EC2 Prices have gone down by more than 80% after accounting for performance and inflation over last 20 years.

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upvoteby Spacemolte9 hours ago|
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It amazes me how productive it's possible to be using AI, but I also has this nagging feeling that we are being reeled into being so reliant on this that when the price starts going up, we will simply eat the cost.

The math is pretty simple, and it's easy to justify still paying the price even if it goes up 10 fold, when compared to hirering more resources its still cheap.

So I guess having multiple players and competition in the market is the key?

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upvoteby renticulous1 hours ago|
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Going forward, models will start specializing. Anthropic will build a BioMed model for large drug companies. A math/compsci model for frontier theoretical research. A physics modelf or nuclear research. They can communicate each other for synergy effects e.g. for areas where math meets biomed etc. This will be cost reducing as well. We plebs don't need advanced models for our plumbing software work. Following example applied to AI capabilies will make it clear.

Does everyone need a graphing calculator? Does everyone need a scientific calculator? Does everyone need a normal calculator? Does everyone need GeoGebra or Desmos ?

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upvoteby anothereng1 hours ago|
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as long as the chinese exist and offer alternatives I think were going to be okay in terms of price, as long as you dont lock in in any american model
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upvoteby consumer45114 hours ago|
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> You’re paying the subsidized cost.

100% agree. I have been trying to tell everyone to build their ideas, and exploit this environment where 100B of VC money into OpenAI/Anthropic = some percentage of money invested into your idea. This is the golden era of building! The music is gonna stop soon. Build now ffs!

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upvoteby zrn9002 hours ago|
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> I really think everyone will look back at this time as the golden area of cheap AI.

Chinese models like Deepseek v4 are as good and 10 times cheaper. You can even run Deepseek locally. So no, cheap AI wont be over. Just the US investors won't be able to profit off of the artificial bubble that is there now but wont be in the future.

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upvoteby HDThoreaun11 hours ago|
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Compute has been getting exponentially cheaper nonstop for decades. Much more likely that current capabilities are effectively free within 5-10 years
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