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I see zero public evidence that they've filed any lawsuits against the members of AOM in any jurisdiction. I'm sure there's been a lot of threatening letters sent...
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Yup. The Dolby/Disney vs Snapchat lawsuit is going to be the first one. So far it's only been filed.

The big question is if AOMedia is going to make good on their Mutually Assured Destruction promise of using their patent and financial war chest to to countersue into oblivion anyone trying to go after AV1 adaptors.

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I would love to live in a world where this happens. I will place big bets that it will, regrettably not happen.
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Same, which is what makes it seem to me that that case is absolutely not watertight. Those patents are probably all about esoteric minutiae (to be fair, that's because that's what it takes to make a better video codec these days) and everything and anything that can seemingly be connected to AV2 (or AV1 for that matter), many of which have only gotten a patent because the person approving it only barely understands what it's saying.
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The illusion breaks once tested in court.

Which is why they'd never sue, only threaten and try to settle.

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