Would love to see the business and manager types manage software and infrastructure. What's the worst that could happen? Go on, do it. Every time a foot gun goes off it'll be followed by a condescending chuckle.
I used to see 'passion' as the defining factor of how to stay in the field and do well, and that was advice given to people who wanted to join the industry -- who showed the minimum of interest. Now we're going to have these non-technical people who definitely aren't interested and definitely don't have passion for it try to make and manage quality software?
This sort of thing happened to, for example, Maplin.
The big poster child is sadly Twitter. A lot of people said it would collapse without 90% of the staff, and that hasn't materialized. I suspect they can't deploy huge changes to the backend, but they never did that much anyway.
(also, those of us not in the US and not in FAANG always wondered how such a steep salary differential could have been maintained forever; more than doctors and lawyers? Comparable to finance bros or the fabled quants? All of those are much more onerous jobs with much harder entrance criteria!)
I'm OK with this now, it is what it is, but these years weren't smooth as there were ups and downs and a down after an up can be stressful if you're not ready for it.
That doesn’t mean we should accept mediocre. Businesses might not care. Few businesses have bought a product based on how many lines of code it has or how easy the code is to maintain.
Even building software for them for nearly 3 decades it became apparent early on that businesses don’t care. It has always been a point of contention: the struggle to ship now, faster and making sure we ship the right thing and do it well. We had to learn when to give ground and when to pull hard… because in the end there are times when it absolutely matters.
Just because business can’t recognize when it’s about to shoot itself in the foot doesn’t mean we should let them.
This has been the excuse of mediocre developers for decades too. It’s how we ended up with sloppy code in production. Terminals that can’t scroll without flickering or handle much data. Apps that have loading screens on super computers. Software that sometimes works. Ship fast and break stuff.
Programmers used to work with punch cards, then assembly, then low-level languages with odd quirks. Today few developers even think about first-party code size, micro-optimizations, register allocation, etc. LLMs are just another abstraction.
A developer with the ideal AI code writer (which we’re not at yet) must still think about idea, design, scope, etc. like a product owner or manager. And these concepts have theory, sometimes even math (e.g. time complexity).
EDIT to comment on the article: all abstractions are leaky, but sometimes it rarely matters. Today we do still need to understand code quality and architecture when working with LLMs, or the software will get bad enough that it will affect the company. But maybe not next year. An analogy: stack vs heap, memory allocations, etc. still matter in high-performance software, which isn’t uncommon, but programmers almost never think about register allocation.
You cannot be serious.
LLMs are also quite deterministic if you want them to be - generally, their final token selection is deliberately randomized (the model “temperature”). But the word you’re looking for here is probably not actually determinism, it’s probably something closer to predictability.
In any case, it’s perfectly possible to ensure that the output of LLMs is fully deterministic, debuggable, understandable, and testable.
> You cannot be serious.
I don’t think you’re thinking about this clearly.
They didn’t even earn anything close to what they were worth. According to Marx’ Labor Theory of Value anyway.
However the dice fall now, one of the possible outcomes is that the tech billionaires take that 100K USD for themselves. The very deserving individuals whose job is to sit their arses on automation assets.
Meanwhile workers from other sectors can gloat about how they are now in the same boat as them. The boat of accepting your ever-meagre reality.
In Germany for instance I've seen many a company that treated their programmers as a cost center and they actually were (probably a mutually reinforcing self-fulfilling prophecy).
Too many instances of programmers being deployed in such a way that I couldn't possibly see a way that they would get back even that meagre investment that was being made. Fully irrational dev teams doing useless busy work.
Most German "startups" used to be replaceable with Zapier and Pipedrive. That has probably only gotten worse with the advent of LLMs.