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I would argue LLMs are possibly the largest paradigm shift the world has ever seen, and we are only at the beginning. The entire scaffolding and structure of programming is in the process of changing — coding has moved to orchestration and testing and governance of how to manage and productionalize code that has surpassed the capacity of human review.

If this sounds melodramatic it’s likely that it hasn’t fully taken root where you are yet.

I see opinions split on like “it’s just a dirty untrustworthy tool that is making our lives and the world a living hell” and “this is the second coming of Christ”. The reality is that right now we lie on that first part of the spectrum, but I am looking over the hill and seeing 4 horses and they are stampeding this way

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No offense but this reads like AI psychosis
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Well I’m not offended but it sounds like you may not be paying attention? Do you know the capital outlay that has gone into infra buildouts? several people here have described “6 months” of AI mania—-the fact that people are saying 6 months is exactly the point. Development has been going on since 2010s. All of the “boosters” as HN likes to say have been saying “hey this thing is huge and the performance trends are startling, get ready” and people then say “that’s psychotic I can’t even get Siri to understand my name”. Sure enough, 6 months ago we hit a performance inflection point where “madness” has begun. That’s just when you started paying attention, the rate of change has not stopped. Pretty easy to predict what happens next…
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Maybe it’s time to ask Siri again, “hey are you smart yet or are you still just a script?”

If she says “I’m sorry, I don’t know how to are you still just a script” then I have my answer. :P

LLMs are remarkable these days but they’re still missing a some essential insight. I’m far less confident now, though, that this will require another big breakthrough and not just a combination of tweaks.

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I accept your skepticism is all I can say but just consider we’re not talking about the most important numbers and topics in this conversation. We have a lot of mileage left in the current stack. Nothing is plateauing though you wouldn’t know it if you read HN.
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[How did you bang out this: — on your keyboard? Why did you decide to use backticks and 66/99 for quotes - nice but its not you is it?]

Engage as a person, please.

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I typed this out, character by painful human character, on an iPhone. It is indeed me!
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Oh also! Two dashes on my phone converts to an EN dash I think (not em dash!)
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Let’s test that — hmm, I think it did?
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iOS automatically ‘replaces’ “quotes” with open/close quotes… and triple full stops with ellipses.
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[dead]
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In the past half a century, product design went from making precise diagrams on paper to CAD. Do you think it's fair to call this paradigm shift or CAD is just some pretty new tool?
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When the nature of your job changes fundamentally in the space of a year, "paradigm shift" feels unsettlingly appropriate.
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"paradigm shift"

And it's literally just a black box that generates more Javascript for their Next.js app

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