No, it is not "figuring out" anything, much less like a human might. Every time "I'm cold" appears in the training data, something else occurs after that. ChatGPT is a statistical model of what is most likely to follow "I'm cold" (and the other tokens preceding it) according to the data it has been trained on. It is not inferring anything, it is repeating the most common or one of the most common textual sequences that comes after another given textual sequence.
This nonsense hasn't been true since GPT-2, and even before that it was a poor description.
For instance, do you think one just solves dozens of Erdős problems with the "most common textual sequence": https://github.com/teorth/erdosproblems/wiki/AI-contribution...
The claims about solving Erdos problems have been wildly overstated, and notably pushed by people who have a very large financial stake in hyping up LLMs. Nonetheless, I did not say that LLMs are useless. If they are trained on sufficient data, it should not be surprising that correct answers are probabilistically likely to occur. Like any computer software, that makes them a useful tool. It does not make them in any way intelligent, any more than a calculator would be considered intelligent despite being completely superior to human intelligence in accomplishing their given task.
Yet have no problem doing so when solving Erdős problems. This isn't up for debate at this point.
>The claims about solving Erdos problems have been wildly overstated
These are verified solutions. They exist, are not trivial, and are of obvious interest to the math community. Take it up with Terence Tao and co.
>pushed by people who have a very large financial stake in hyping up LLMs
Libel.
>It does not make them in any way intelligent
Word games.
I always thought the hard math problems are so deeply nested or you have to remember trick xyz that people just didnt think about it yet..
If by not up for debate, you mean that it is delusional and literally evidence of psychosis to suggest that computer software is doing something it is not programmed to do, you would be correct. Probabilistic analysis can carry you very, very far in doing something that looks like logical inference at the surface level, but it is nonetheless not logical inference. LLM models have been getting increasingly good at factoring in larger and longer contexts and still managing to generate plausibly correct answers, becoming more and more useful all the while, but are still not capable of logical inference. This is why your genius mathematician AGI consciousness stumbles on trivial logic puzzles it has not seen before like the car wash meme.
These are just insults and outright lies, and you know that. We're done here.
AI progress from here on out will be extra sweet.
What LLM's are is almost like a hacked-means of intuition. Its very impressive no doubt. But ultimately it isn't even close to what the well-trained human can infer at lightning speed when combined with intuition.
The LLM producers really ought to accept their existing investments are ultimately not going to yield the returns necessary for a viable self-sustaining business when accounting for future reinvestment needs, and instead move their focus towards understanding how to marry the human and LLM technology. Anthropic has been better on this front of course. OAI though? Complete diasaster.
It's a lot closer to that than anything was five years ago. Do you really think we're going to be interacting with them the same way five years from now?
I’d never just turn on the heater silently if someone said this to me. I think it means something else.
If they said "turn on the heater" then you have no ambiguity