So the real challenge companies are facing is will there be enough people to safely maintain these systems in the next decade. If they do not, it means failures in credit card systems, airline reservations, insurance claims and more.
The age of mainframe folks is highly bi-modal. The original folks are dying of old age. There is a new crop of 35-and-under folks that have sprung up as they noticed that the work is very steady and the pay is good. Between ages 35 and 65, there aren’t many mainframe people.
The last thing I’d ever put into mission-critical systems is an LLM.
So let’s hope it’s a mainframe sandbox so future COBOL programmers can learn on it. :)
In any case, COBOL systems work precisely because no one is constantly tinkering with them to “add a new framework”.
The last time I saw, someone made a “Hello World” app in Electron, and it was 220 MB.
Howgh.
I've heard from a global bank, they have one mainframe developer in the team who is past 70. She manages a critical credit card service and gets paid in the upper end of 6 figures to work 20 hrs a week. She's the only one who knows that system. Lots of stories like this.
Yawn this tired old yarn, again. Mainframe development was offshored from the US decades ago. These retiring cobol programmers simply don’t exist in numbers that matter. The market could be to the companies doing the offshore work, but they’ve been throwing bodies at this problem for a long time, maybe there’s a market there maybe not.
Now bringing in AI agents that are incredibly good at software engineering into the modernization lifecycle can completely change the landscape. That's the vision we're building towards at Hypercubic.
Previously you might need 50 engineers and 5+ years to modernize a mainframe application, now with Hypercubic, we can compress that down to 1/5th of those estimates.