"AI will take over almost all the work of software engineers (SWEs) end - to - end in just 6 - 12 months!"
What you describe is >50% of the job of SWEs, even when they write all code by hand.
Are you saying that "for many start-ups", this isn't done by SWE's but by some other career type or are you implying that it's just the code written (and first review) is replaced by AI?
He did say a few months later in an interview in India that AI will eventually take over most of SWE tasks.
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My statement on startups is largely about automating coding by SWEs. My startup also uses AI to automate part of technical specifications and code review but I am not sure how widespread that is.
const sqlStatement = (!params.mostRecentOnly) ? {giant SQL statement} : {identical giant SQL statement + 'LIMIT 1' at the end}
AI never met a problem that can't be solved with more code. Need some data in a slightly different structure? Don't try to modify an existing endpoint, just build a new one! Need to access a field that's buried in a JSON object in the database? Just create a new column, but don't bother removing the field from the JSON object. The more sources of truth, the merrier! When it comes time to update, just write more code to update the field everywhere it lives!
Factor out the extra sources of truth you say? Good luck scanning the most verbose front-end you've ever seen to make sure nothing is looking at the source you want to remove. In the beginning of big projects, you have to be absolutely ruthless about keeping complexity down so it doesn't get out of control later. AI is terrible at keeping complexity down.
My goal is to halve the lines of code from what the vendor turned over to us. One baby step at a time.
UI components always presentational only logic abstracted modularly, etc...
The number of times I’ve seen Claude say “this test was failing already so is ignored” when it _wasnt_ despite me telling it to never do that makes me doubt.
Then again I don't want to pay for AI to give me the coding style of the worst I ever worked with either.
which startups? I'm genuinely curious
Companies will definitely expect devs to ship more with the same headcount, oftentimes either won’t hire juniors to train them up or will straight up do layoffs, sometimes the AI just being a convenient scapegoat. We kind of can’t ignore that either, sure a lot of those companies will be shooting themselves in the foot, but livelihoods will be impacted a bunch.