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> Humans who have been writing systems like that for many years know how to maintain and modify them successfully.

Do they??

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I believe this type of person exists.

My team lead has worked on the same software for 30 years. He has the ability to hear me discuss a bug I noticed, and then pinpoint not only the likely culprit, but the exact function that's causing it.

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I do the same thing in a project I’ve worked on for 25 years. I’ve had mediocre at best results with AI. It’s useful to discuss concepts with, but the code never handles the nuances of the edge cases.
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Then they quit or die.
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What is your argument? Should we stop training people on how to do something because we're mortals?
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Yep this is like comparing master craftsmanship with a production line. You're gonna get good attention to detail and a masterpiece from one, and a limited thing that will break after few years from the other. But for majority of use cases the second one is enough. And pointing out the master craftsmanship is "better" is besides the point.

And with one you need to train a guy for 25 years and with the other you need plan mode for a few minutes and then it runs 24/7.

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Our society needs more experts, not less.
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Do we? We have many buildings built and very little master masons or whatever nowadays. The amount of craftsmen needed to build a 10 story building is very limited. That's what we should aim for software, much less experts needed for the same outcome so more people can benefit from software.
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How do you explain to a junior this pile of messy code isn’t crap but is actually years of integrated knowledge ? That the most common principles discussed in computer science (OOP, SOLID, DRY etc.) are actually just little guides that aren’t to be taken to the extremes ?
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Here's a 26-year old post on the exact topic of messiness you raise:

https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2000/04/06/things-you-should-...

A decade ago, I was sitting in on a meeting about a rewrite and, before I could say anything, someone in the first year of her career asked why anyone thought a rewrite would be any cleaner once all the edge cases were handled. Afterwards, I asked her where she learned this. She said "I don't know, it just seems kind of obvious." She went on to be a great engineer and is now a great manager.

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I work on internal facing software and every rewrite I've seen in 20 years suffers from the same symptoms. The code/system is a mess because it has been exposed to reality for a decade. Reality is messy. That's why they pay us money, believe it or not.

Greenfield guy comes in, promises the world, and starts from some first principles white papered architecture. It's really lovely until they onboard the first user. Then they slowly commit all the "sins" (features that drive revenue) of the first system.

The firm is stuck supporting N systems indefinitely because the perfect new system takes so long to cover even 30% of the original system use cases, that management takes a flier on.. bear with me.. a second rewrite. Now they have 3 systems.

I've seen more 3rd systems than I've seen actual decommissioning of original systems into a single clean new system.

The answer is chipping away, modularizing, and replacing piecemeal Ship of Theseus style. But that does not drive big hires and big promotions.

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The bolded quote "It’s harder to read code than to write it." is hilarious given todays context... it has only become more true :)
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That kind of self-awareness and humility (and therefore intellectual honesty) is unfortunately really rare in tech for some reason. I don't think there's a way to proactively cultivate it in those who don't have it--if someone has made it to the workplace without having developed it, it's probably too late--but I do think there are ways to select for it by culling those who don't have it when we smoke them out. We ought to do a lot more of that.
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It's a dice roll to keep the junior around until he unlearns the wrong bits.
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Expert knows when to break the rules
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Experts take the time to learn why the fence was there in the first place.
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Experts are people who have made all the mistakes there are to make in their chosen field.

Including all of the above.

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Experts have beginner’s mind.
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tell them they need to turn a profit as quickly as possible
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Wait if they can do that they’re not juniors anymore :P
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Executive leadership bias older not younger, no?
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