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All of those are within range of Iranian missiles and drones. The only ways out of this are total war or final settlement giving Iranian favorable terms.

by Karrot_Kream5 hours ago|

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The US, China, Russia, India etc can bolster UAE defense in Fujairah. It's UAE and Omani controlled waters around there, the same area that the US is enforcing its current blockade.

by lonely_wanderer5 hours ago|

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That scraggly tag team of allies, the US, China, Russia, and India.

I can only see two natural allies here (US and India) and clear reasons why Russia and China benefit from the current order, or at least are harmed less than the US.

by Karrot_Kream5 hours ago|

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I don't mean they'll literally ally, I meant any one of them could guarantee the UAE.

Also multiple partners don't need to ally to necessarily guarantee the UAE. UAE has been growing closer to China recently and now that UAE has left OPEC+ they could make deals with China for protection for favored oil contracts. The US could do the same.

by pdimitar5 hours ago|

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Iran is also playing a PR war lately, playing the victims of the big bad USA.

They IMO embarrassed themselves hugely by shooting missiles and drones at their neighbors; not sure they'll want to also try to sink (literally) a new way for the world to get oil from that peninsula but through other routes.

Though of course propaganda knows no rest. They'll likely bend over backwards and do a front flip to again make it the fault of everyone else but not them.

by wodenokoto5 hours ago|

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It’s probably still a lot cheaper to pay toll than moving cargo from Jebel Ali to Fujairah over land

by Karrot_Kream4 hours ago|

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UAE already built a pipeline called ADNOC that ships oil to Fujairah. They're committing to doubling [1] their export capacity by 2027.

[1]: https://gulfnews.com/business/energy/uaes-new-west-east-pipe...