I wish that those who support #2 looked a lot less like #3.

For that matter, I wish those who were pro-AI were more strictly supportive of #1.

#2 is impossible now that oss models are readily available and nobody would know you are using them.

I agree with your logic, but you should replace 2 with "AI used by governments only". The haters would have more luck getting rid of nuclear weapons than putting the AI cat back in the bag. Governments will use it for surveillance. Think "sentiment analysis" to make sure you're not a terrorist.

#2 is not really an option though. It's more like #1 or #3.

What does #1 actually mean in practical terms? Collective ownership of a giant data center and all the CPUs, GPUs, and DRAM needed to do AI?

Yeah I'll pick two, thanks.

#1 seems like the worst possible dystopia. We should shoot for #2 and have #3 as a fallback. The Culture is the worst dystopia I am capable of imagining.

4. regulation... well, that's a no go in the US. So what is the 5th option?