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> The real question is whether users will tolerate conversational ads

Unfortunately I think they will, as much as I'd hope for the opposite.

People already tolerate influencers, deliberate product placement, etc. Heck, most big content creator type content on YouTube/TikTok right now are basically infomercials disguised as entertainment, and people eat it up.

The problem with ads in LLM responses is now you can no longer trust (what little you could, anyway) the output. You have to constantly guess "did someone pay for this response or is it authentic?" and it goes further than just text responses with the new universal shopping cart thing and other agentic tools. When these things operate autonomously, how much influence are advertisers going to have? Could we see a malicious library pay for Gemini ads and now the coding model is adding it to coding projects?

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All the more reason to go local.
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> the incentive shifts from gaming rankings to gaming the AI's understanding of what's "helpful."

My 2ct: The incentive shifts from gaming rankings to bidding the highest on Google’s keyword (or similar) auction. Google then promotes it as helpful while businesses maximize the amount they pay for that service. There is only one winner in this game.

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> The switching cost for search is essentially zero.

Those of us who remember when Google first appeared and revolutionized search can testify to that.

I tried Google and that was it, Yahoo, Alta Vista, etc, where just little dots in the rear view mirror.

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Good insights from Claude
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>That's a much harder problem to police

It's also just a much harder problem. At low margins the "solution" may very well be to genuinely make your widget superior to the competing widget for a given set of users or situations.

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Or, just produce a cheaper, shittier widget, and pay Google to have their AI tell people your widget is superior anyway. My guess is Google will try to keep their ad costs just low enough to make this second option the most attractive.
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You realize search result relevancy was also driven by advertising, right? The ads come from Google and the results themselves. It is a hard problem but it's equivalent to LLM response relevancy.
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> gaming the AI's understanding of what's "helpful."

The AI doesn't have any understanding. You just have to tell it "this is helpful to AI". It has no critical discernment, it doesn't have a theory of mind to ask "why is the author of this information making this statement?"

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I wonder what will make the ai more 'helpful'? $$$
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And social proximity to he AI's owners.
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