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by dmantis2 hours ago |
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upvoteby sifar2 hours ago|
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Swords, bows and arrows, castles were all here to stay.

Technologies fade away when they are no longer useful, cost/benefit ratio is too high or something better comes along.

It is question of when.

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upvoteby KptMarchewa2 hours ago|
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They stopped being used as primary weapons because better ones were found - mostly firearms - not because people got bored of it; or reverted to some earlier methods of warfare.
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upvoteby sifar38 minutes ago|
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Yes, there is the general class of technologies (warfare, computing ...) and there are particular instances of those for a given time and space and evolve as the landscape changes.

The technology of warfare evolved to better mechanisms, perhaps same with computing.

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upvoteby chaps2 hours ago|
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Bows and arrows are still widely used for hunting all over the world. I was able do freelance work on a relatively low income because of access to ~150lbs of deer meat that came from multiple bow-hunted deer.
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upvoteby u_fucking_dork1 hours ago|
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So you’re saying today’s models are sticks and stones and you’re looking forward to the nuclear submarine equivalent models?
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upvoteby lucketone1 hours ago|
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Building on that futurism.

We might design organic brain extensions, so people just become smarter, making LLMs obsolete. (Brain-Bluetooth interface for additional cost)

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upvoteby squidbeak1 hours ago|
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What tech can you imagine that would make the conversion of electricity into thought 'no longer useful'?
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upvoteby sifar26 minutes ago|
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This is an interesting question that I haven't thought about, thanks.

What we currently have is a simulacrum of thought - albeit a good one.

Any technology is useful only in the sense that it helps us with solving the problems we are dealing with in that time. When we face issues that a pseudo-thought is not useful in tackling or worse is one of the causes - this will recede in the background.

Beyond that, the implicit assumption in the question is that thinking is the highest form of activity that is useful to us.

I don't know how my thoughts arise but thinking happens when I engage with them. I think what we look for is meaning in our lives and thinking helps us generate/achieve one, whether real or illusory.

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upvoteby ang_cire35 minutes ago|
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I don't know about you, but I can buy bows and arrows at hundreds of sporting goods stores in my local area alone, and I even know of 2 local blacksmith shops that sell swords.

Castles still exist as well, you just aren't invited to them (which was true for us peasants back in the day, too). Trump is still trying to get one built under the ruins of the East Wing, in fact.

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upvoteby charcircuit2 hours ago|
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No one is claiming that ChatGPT 5.5 is here to stay and be popular forever. More advance AI models will replace what exists today.
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upvoteby the_gastropod2 hours ago|
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In other words, it’s a thought terminating cliche. Why say it?

The Juicero is here to stay! There’s no putting the genie back in the bottle.

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upvoteby KptMarchewa2 hours ago|
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Comparing it to Juicero is also thought terminating.
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upvoteby AnimalMuppet1 hours ago|
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No. You're not thinking it through well enough.

The technology involved in Juicero (or Pets.com, or many others) didn't go away. We could rebuild them any time we wanted to. Those things went away because they weren't able to make enough money to be an ongoing business.

Will AI? That is at least an open question at this point. (I mean, in fairness, Amazon's was an open question for many years too.)

The tech isn't going anywhere. Is there a path to a sustainable business model that uses that tech?

You may have an answer to that question. Can you prove it to someone who doesn't already agree with your answer?

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upvoteby jononor42 minutes ago|
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There are likely _many_ paths to sustainable business models based on AI tech, that will come to fruition over the next decades. However whether they might not be as profitable as OpenAI and Anthropic are gambling on, is more uncertain.
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upvoteby satvikpendem52 minutes ago|
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Juicero wasn't useful therefore it went away. Generative AI is useful therefore it won't go away, just like how fire is kMy old yet it's still here to stay.
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