Here are two experimental exceptions:
We'll like have some standard AI-focused UI libraries that are harnessed into a design gen system where an AI can pull all the real levers, while also developing a large training data set around it.
This is the MoviePass era of language models
Supersonic again is a problem with noise and cost rather than technological.
Self driving is definitely a technological problem.
It could become that way, but thus far no evidence has been presented for it. The best we have right now is that you can spend $20 in tokens to write a patch and then $20K to find a vulnerability in it. First, that's not measuring the same thing. Second, it's not very impressive.
50 years is a long, long time, so I wouldn't bet against it. But I agree that we don't have evidence for it yet.
It seems more likely to me that you could spend $20 to find a vulnerability in a piece of software that costed you $20k in human labor.
there is a difference between a stunt and a viable product. diverless cars and agi are the fusion of Silicon Valley.
Cities should all have better public transport and out in the middle of nowhere you don't need self driving anyway. (And yes, personal cars should be entirely banned from cities)