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I don't think AGI was ever a serious endeavour, just something the labs talked up to grab attention.

I am willing to bet a Twix we'll look back on that stuff in 2 years with a lot of embarrassment

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The high-risk side of that bet would need to win more like a lifetime supply of Twix. But in a post-scarcity nirvana, everyone already has that. So sure, you're on at even money. See you in two years.
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Theres no reason to believe, based on recent trends, that AI would lead us to a post-scarcity world, even if it could do all of our jobs better and cheaper.
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I'll wager a hypersled of my Twix against your next three rations of gruel. But I think I'm done betting after this one.
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