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I think the underestimation is how many people want a personal knowledge worker in their pocket, and are willing to pay ~$65/mo for it.
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Personally, I've only encountered any of those people on line, and almost exclusively here on HN.

Most people I've met -- and again, in a pretty darn skewed sample globally -- see $65/mo as a lot of money to spend on technology of any kind and can't think of anything much they need from "a personal knowledge worker in their pocket". I don't know a single person in real life who remains excited about AI at all, and only a few software engineers who feel it'd be worth that much.

Everybody seems to be mostly confident with the "knowledge productivity" in their personal and professional life and a pretty skittish about spending in today's economy. Most would be excited about a magic new robot that affordably saved them from unwanted physical labor and drudgery, but nobody needs much real help making appointments or filling out forms or whatever.

That's not to say I won't be proved wrong some day, with some further innovations in AI products, but global-scale demand isn't waiting for anything that's been released so far.

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Well around 40% of people work. I dont think its crazy to say around a third of jobs are knowledge jobs, but what do I know
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85% of the world population lives outside of developed nations.

27% of the world's workforce is in agriculture (contrast to the US where it is 1-2%). 15% in manufacturing.

A lot of people work in "services" (especially in high income nations, where it's roughly three quarters) and some of those are knowledge workers... but a huge number of them are nail technicians or hairdressers or bartenders (etc etc).

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