In other words, when will we really see a transition from "yet another token generator" to something that appears to coherently observe, perceive, form intent, plan, and act in a way that is compatible with an existing, long-running human context?
(And, also, do this with enough determinism to be a viable product and not some gaping liability...)
As others have said, this will be more like ordering food than "building". It's not there yet, but soon-ish it might be.