Regardless, every time this guy does something super capital intensive, it looks stupid and then works out for him
That's how it looks at first, agreed. But if you look closer, you'll notice something kind of funny. The only times Musk really wins big have been when the competition is either incompetent or lazy (launch services and satellite Internet), or doesn't show up to the game at all (EVs, self-driving and otherwise.)
Data centers and semiconductors aren't like that. Those guys aren't going to stand by passively and let him eat their lunch like General Motors and ULA did.