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I think "he's almost certainly a better programmer than me" is a double form of humility: first, he's assuming that Fabrice Bellard is a better programmer than him based on the evidence and reputation, but he's also admitting that he doesn't have direct knowledge of this. Hence "almost certainly."
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Well, carmack is THE game dev of 90s and 2000s fame. His 2d/3d engine work was outstanding back in the day.

Bellard did multiple breakthroughs: ffmpeg, qemu, tcc, jslinux, a state of the art FFT algorithm. I probable skipped a few.

With all due respect to carmack, a single ballard's projects would put anybody into the eternal hall of programmers fame right next to Linus, Carmack, Stallman, the Bell labs crowd and others.

i do understand how carmack did what he did logistically (time, effort, skills, compensation)...

Fabrice is just out of this world. When? How? Why? No idea.

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He is also a mathematician, having invented a new algorithm for calculating the digits of pi
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Here is his paper on it which is a little 2 pager:

https://bellard.org/pi/pi_bin.pdf

Though I have to say the last line of the proof "...which gives (1) by reordering the terms" took me much head scratching to understand!

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its because carmacl enjoys a lot of fame around his tricks. ppl get like that.
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