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I hope so too. But I fear that it will feel inadequate if we know there is always a $20 online model that is an order of magnitude better. I don't think there will be a "good enough" local model so long as frontier models look so much better.
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Seems like most people have settled on Opus 4.6 as the breaking point (me as well).

Once I can spend 10k to run Opus 4.6 at home, I'm done.

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I'm very optimistic here as well. And it's also worth noting that tooling is improving along with the models. I really think we have to treat models and tools as a package. The models is your engine, but you need a chassis to run it.

I find what makes frontier models actually work well isn't just the capability of the model, but how well the harness is tuned to its expectations. I wrote a about this in a bit more detail here. https://yogthos.net/posts/2026-06-08-dirge-code.html

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