Higher odds of being banned for legitimate usage.

For being flagged as possibly a competitor? They nuke your account.

Returning invalid poisoned different results that were not what you paid for

> What’s the punishment here exactly?

Seeing as how Anthropic cannot stop raising a stink about "illicit Chinese distillation attacks" every month or so, I'd bet money on them either already silently degrading model performance if any of the identification patterns match, or, at the very least, considering it/doing dry runs.

Particularly considering that they've openly stated that the technology to do so exists and that they were going to use it in production on Fable.

Output poisoning and/or eventual account bans, if I had to guess.

They probably run a heavily dumbed down version of the model, same as what they got caught doing with Fable.

And that's also why, as a legitimate customer, want none of it, you never know if you accidentally entered a zone they don't like.