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Those are maintenance + loot box on existing games. Sure, it still takes art and craft, but not the same kind of development work.
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Valve is still working on new things. See this section, specifically the bottom.

https://box2d.org/posts/2026/06/announcing-box3d/#valve-to-t...

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So not games.
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Try reading between the lines. Why would Valve be developing a new game physics engine internally?
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Counter Strike 2 is a 14 year old game. DOTA2 is a 13 year old game.

Yes I know Valve makes money selling games. They don't make games.

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Both of those games are live services games. They're not just getting some occasional bug fixes, they get big content updates.
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While it can be disregarded just as major update CS2 is formally 2023.

Dota is live service game, getting major patches each year. Patch notes for version released 3 months ago: https://liquipedia.net/dota2/Version_7.41 I don't think there's any reason for Dota 3, ever. Any change could be just a patch.

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