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I don't think Anthropic are doing that because they don't have enough compute capacity. If we had 100* more datacentres the message would still be the same - they're focusing on selling Fable access to enterprise users because that's what makes them more money.
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Either the cost to serve this larger model is so high that they cannot offer any reasonable usage quota for it at subscription prices, or they really do not have the capacity.

I think that it might well be true. The Opus models had capacity issues on many occasions too. Can the larger model even be served on all of the hardware they have, or only a subset?

It would not surprise me if growing enterprise demand threatens capacity, making it impossible for Anthropic to offer the model in subscriptions at this time, even though they could do so at a profit.

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Do you pay API prices? Or are you on some of those plans that are deeply unprofitable?

I am not even sure if API prices are actually profitable, but they certainly aren't as unprofitable as the subscription plan users.

Either way, that's why you don't have access. It has nothing to do with capacity constraints.

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We do not know whether subscription plans are unprofitable at all.

Some estimates suggest that this is the case only for the heaviest users.

Many seem to confuse API prices with the actual cost to serve the models, and thus reach the conclusion that subscriptions must be deeply unprofitable.

Anthropic is officially citing capacity constraints with the intent to bring the Fable model back to subscriptions plans as soon as capacity allows.

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> We do not know whether subscription plans are unprofitable at all.

That's pretty much certain. It's sort of cute when people like to pretend otherwise.

> Many seem to confuse API prices with the actual cost to serve the models, and thus reach the conclusion that subscriptions must be deeply unprofitable.

I don't make that mistake. I actually suspect that the actual costs may be higher than the API prices. I think those may still be subsidized.

> Anthropic is officially citing capacity constraints with the intent to bring the Fable model back to subscriptions plans as soon as capacity allows.

Yeah, I don't think they are being truthful at all.

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