I am not claiming that objective tests are the only tests that matter, but I am guessing Lynne tweaked the codec to win in both objective measures and Lynne's own subjective tests. I don't think tweaking it to do better on more subjective tests would be impossible though, just needs more work, probably. What I'm saying is, at least as far as CBR goes, I think FFmpeg's new NMR encoder is likely going to be the best soon if it isn't already.
There is the question of VBR still, though.
> iPod has over 80%+ of portable music players market share. And almost all the others shipped at the time, from Creative to other Chinese brands, car audio, TV and media player has AAC support. AAC-LC hit a sweet spot of near same MP3 hardware support while being so much better. 320Kbps MP3 still don't compete with 256Kbps AAC-LC on Apple Encoder. On the other hand, there are only a few samples where 256Kbps AAC-LC isn't transparent, barely noticeable difference but no artefacts compared to Opus in professional listening test, 95% of people wouldn't even notice. Opus do shines at 128Kbps to 160Kbps range where AAC-LC don't compete ( or dare I say wasn't even tuned ), but loses nearly all hardware compatibility.
Please note that I was talking about deploying Opus vs deploying AAC-LC, not whether you encode your personal collection to AAC-LC vs Opus or something like that. (My personal audio collection is mostly FLAC and gets Opus-transcoded on-the-fly.) I brought up my Sansa Clip+ not because PMPs are still relevant - let's be honest, they're not really relevant for anyone but us nerds - but just because it's an example of a device I personally owned that really doesn't support AAC-LC.
Still, a lot of old iPods can easily decode Opus if you run Rockbox on them as far as I know, so it's not like it isn't an option if you're a fan of PMPs still, which is pretty cool since they can be had for relatively cheap depending on what direction you go.
> If we were streaming, and storing music or audio tracks with 128Kbps then Opus would have had strong advantage. But we live in a world where we could even stream uncompressed audio files with plenty of bandwidth left. The file size of audio is so small it makes it negligible in consumer settings unless you are Youtube. ( I would still prefer a 256Kbps audio codec, for me it was instantly noticeable. I think Youtube at one point switched for premium but decided to switch it back )
> For web then I guess there is an argument for Opus. But I keep saying the same with Video Codec as well. There is a whole world of Video and Audio Codec usage outside the web and PC / Smartphone. We could have used AAC and called it a day. And it is not just patent unencumbered, it is patent free.
The argument for Opus in streaming is still strong on its own. If we pit 128kbps Opus against 256kbps AAC-LC, that's obviously a 50% reduction in bandwidth for similar quality.
Does it matter if we have so much bandwidth to spare? In my opinion, definitely. For people using metered data connections, which are quite common for mobile connections in the U.S., you can fit twice as much 128kbps Opus in your spare bandwidth versus 256kbps AAC-LC - around 1 megabyte every minute versus 2. The cheapest Google Fi plan has 15 GB of bandwidth per month - if you did nothing but listen to audio, I reckon that'd give you around 4 hours a day of 256kbps audio versus 8 hours a day of 128kbps audio. Since most people do more than just listen to audio, the actual difference this makes when data limit constrained is much bigger.
Does it matter if video bitrate trumps audio anyways? Yes, still. Consider the provider end of things. Obviously, YouTube isn't serving 256kbps AAC-LC, but if they were serving 256kbps AAC-LC to everyone, then assuming they have around 4 million people streaming YouTube at any given time, they would wind up saving at least over 100 petabytes of bandwidth per month. Which is probably not a huge amount relatively speaking, but it definitely would be worth doing. In actual reality, YouTube just simply won't serve 256kbps audio to everyone because it wouldn't make sense, so Opus just enables us to get quality we weren't going to get before. Similar calculus either way, though.
Why Opus and not AV1 then? Well, I think Opus and AV1 should be adopted especially where bandwidth is a question. YouTube, Netflix, really any big provider is going to want to adopt both. AV1 offers a similar magnitude of efficiency improvement over H.264 as Opus over AAC-LC. However, the great thing about Opus is that it is just super cheap to decode, so there are limited circumstances where we're limited by compute; the only cases where it would be relevant are in fact fixed function devices. AV1 and video in general is just a lot more computationally expensive to decode, so not having hardware acceleration would be a serious impediment, and even on the Internet, AV1 support is supposedly significantly less pervasive than Opus support, so you would need to fall back for a much larger percentage of users.
So the tradeoff calculus is different, IMO, for deploying AV1 and Opus. For deploying Opus, you will need to fall back for a very small percentage of users, and doing so is relatively inexpensive because you can literally just ship a software codec. For deploying AV1, you will need to fall back for more users and shipping a software codec isn't a serious option. Which leaves some potential reasoning for people to just stick to H.264 out of sheer simplicity, in spite of the efficiency cost.