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Who is talking like this? Presumably the people looking forward to next year's models find some value out of this year's.

You seem to want it to collapse, but that's not the argument you person you're responding to is making.

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It is in fact very common:

https://hn.algolia.com/?dateEnd=1753056000&dateRange=custom&...

In particular those of us rooting for the collapse of AI were complaining about this speech a year ago as well:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44525074

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You must really have your head in the sand if you truly believe AI will not soon be very close to, if not better than, humans at writing code.
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That is simply not technologically possible. You are speaking in science fiction here. You cannot train a neural network on existing things and then by some magic have the model be better then the training data. The laws of statistics prohibit it.
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