With `mmap`, OS loads pages reactively as the model touches them. It doesn’t know which experts were selected or when their reads could overlap with GPU work
And common weights still use mmap for simplicity
So, I believe llama.cpp might run it under 2gb, but I assume it will be slower
With mmap()-ed file, for each pagefault, kernel will conservatively estimate block size to page in, so you'll have a ton of relatively small requests going to SSD. This would be IOPS-bound, and likely under-perform relative to maximum possible bytes/second throughput.
With explicit read()/pread(), kernel & SSD can work with much larger chunks, so it's easier to hit maximum bytes/second throughput.
Plus, with modern CPUs, IO-wait could be efficiently combined with number-crunching. So, if software knows in advance which data chunk (expert) it'll need for the next token, it can load that in parallel with computing current token.