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Minimal. I'm behind Cloudflare and 90% of the traffic is still scrapers. I don't think they're serious about the long tail.

I think the main thing Cloudflare is trying to do is block direct traffic from frontier labs and then start charging them for access. They might end up shooting themselves in the foot, as this simply empowers sketchy residential-proxy outfits to undercut Cloudflare and sell the data to labs for less.

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I think the other thing they're trying to do is get most of the internet to send them all of their cleartext traffic. Expect in 2040 the PRISM2 docs will get leaked by some Eduardo Rainedon and we'll find out Cloudflare was the NSA all along.
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It still only blocks "well-behaved" bots that have proper User-Agents and respect robots.txt, so it's largely pointless.

The problematic bots are all disguising themselves as Chrome and sending requests from millions of residential proxy IPs, and the only real solution to those is some sort of captcha or PoW page on first visit.

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