> Combine A + B

Really, compress. Compression is a useful proxy for intelligence.

To compress data efficiently, an entity must discover the underlying patterns, structures, and regularities within that data. Identifying these structures is precisely what we define as "understanding" or "intelligence.

Anything we put into writing can be thought of as a string of data. The Kolmogorov complexity of a string of data is the length of the shortest possible computer program that can output that string.

A good compressor doesn't just memorize (yes, there's a reason LLM writing features the "it's not just X, it's Y pattern"), it builds a generalized model to handle unseen, similar data. LLMs are trained by compressing the internet into weights, they use this to write new code.

When an LLM is trained, it compresses ...bytes of human text into a few ...bytes of neural network weights. When you ask it a question, it uses that compressed model to generate (decompress) a coherent response.

Consider the dichotomy:

LLMs display emergent reasoning, coding capabilities, and logic because they were forced to compress human language so tightly.

LLMs often suffer from "hallucinations" and struggle with novel logic puzzles because compression encourages mimicking statistical patterns rather than building a true causal model of the physical world.

An algorithm can achieve massive compression if it utilizes a highly complex, slow, or massive decompression engine. If a system takes 10 000 years to decompress a file, or requires an infinite amount of computing power (like Kolmogorov complexity), it cannot function as a practical intelligence. Real intelligence must operate within tight time and energy constraints.

> Maybe there's true brilliance out there

Brilliance is a trope. pg's 2009 "The Anatomy of Determination" deals with it: https://www.paulgraham.com/determination.html

In it, he argues that determination is the single most important predictor of success, surpassing even raw intelligence.

While popular culture loves the narrative of the "brilliant genius," Graham's experience backing hundreds of startups taught him that a highly intelligent person without drive quickly becomes ineffectual. Conversely, a profoundly determined individual can find pathways to success even in ordinary or unglamorous industries. Over time, determination actually starts to look like talent.

I'm going to commit a faux pas (a breach of HN etiquette) and give an AI summary in 3 bullet points because, well, the article deals with 3 points, so it's a good fit and I doubt I can compress it better than AI:

1. Willfulness. The desire to get your way regardless of obstacles or consequences.Being fearless about consequences and pushing through "hellacious" moments when others quit.

2. Discipline. The ability to force yourself to do what you planned to do. Being "hard on yourself" and turning off the background analysis in your mind that questions the plan.

3. Ambition. The grandness of your destination and what you want to achieve. Choosing the right target; if determination is a vector, ambition is the direction it points.

Of these 3, it's quite obvious at this point that LLMs are superior at 1) and 2), as LLM alignment is quite good, and it's ability to spin up sub-agents that can work for over 24 hrs is better than humans. Human limit is basically 1 hackathon's worth of cognitive work. Beyond that, health becomes a concern, and how many people can produce useful work under sleep deprivation? Codex can work for 24-ish hours, as evidenced by today's "Auto-research with codex: How I achieved a 232x Faster Kernel": https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49309549

So what's left for mere mortals? Apparently, nourishing your ambition:

"So here in sum is how determination seems to work: it consists of willfulness balanced with discipline, aimed by ambition. And fortunately at least two of these three qualities can be cultivated. You may be able to increase your strength of will somewhat; you can definitely learn self-discipline; and almost everyone is practically malnourished when it comes to ambition."