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It also seems they are very strict regarding who can notarize their apps.

> Companies will now qualify if they:

> * Meet a moderate financial-stability bar as scored by Dun & Bradstreet. > * Are publicly traded or owned by a publicly traded company. > * Have received venture funding from an established investment firm. > * Have completed a financial audit by a licensed accountant. > * Are a government entity, educational institution, or nonprofit.

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Those requirements apply to direct distribution or alternate marketplaces. Developers not meeting those criteria can still participate in non-Apple distribution by submitting to an alternate marketplace.
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The "alternative marketplace" should be replaced with "no marketplace." How do people accept this "alternative marketplace" idea? This is obviously a way to increase friction in order to maintain dominance - and the solution is obvious - no marketplace at all.
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No, those are the qualifications to run an app marketplace.

Independent web distribution of an app requires only notarization.

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>What I don't understand is how Apple will track the new 5% commission for web distributed apps.

My guess: since all apps will need to be notarized, even web distributed ones, your phone will phone home to Apple servers when you first launch it (and periodically afterwards), to verify it isn’t in a revocation list. That will allow Apple to track unique installs and then bill the Apple developer account based on pricing data reported by the web distributor as part of their separate agreement with Apple.

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[dead]
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> What I don't understand is how Apple will track the new 5% commission for web distributed apps.

My understanding is that it's based entirely on self-reporting by developers.

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> My understanding is that it's based entirely on self-reporting by developers.

I look forward to the bans and/or automated deductions issued when Apple's automated system believes you're lying, there's money at stake here so they'll be strict about it.

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