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The fact that Musk claims Opus is 5T to justify why Grok is far behind should be taken with a massive grain of salt given he's a recidivist mythomaniac.

Honestly if Opus is 5T parameters while being matched by the biggest open models that are at least twice smaller, it would mean that the US is already behind China in the AI race, despite a significant edge in compute.

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The open models don't really match Opus.

For example I regularly do Fable+Opus agentic coding runs over 24 hours without intervention.

I think I've had GLM do a run that was a few hours. That's the closest I've had an open model come on that kind of work.

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Even if they don't match current-day Opus in everything, they do beat 6 month old Opus, which we have no reason to believe it was smaller than the latest version.
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Yes. And Opus goes a very long way compared to Fable, Anthropic isn't doing any favour, it's clearly just 2 models with a very different amount of parameters.
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Wasn't Opus ~1.5T and Fable is about twice that?
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