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They get paid the same either way, Openrouter takes their cut and passes it onto the consumer. And anyone with an Openrouter account has already escaped from their proprietary moat. So for those who have expressed a clear preference for provider-agnostic model infrastructure, do you want to just wall yourself away from them forever?

And per the rankings [0] 18.2% of the tokens sold through went to OpenAI [1]. 3.8% for Anthropic though. Google's up there at 23.4% primarily because GCP/Vertex/whatever they're offering is a billing nightmare and the only way to set a hard cap and sure you won't wake up the next day with a $10k bill is via OR.

[0] https://openrouter.ai/rankings#market-share

[1] Although gpt-oss 20b and 120b are indexed as 'openai' because they're the creator even though they don't serve gpt-oss via openrouter. But neither are in the top 20 of models this month, while Luna and Sol are.

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Read my sentence again. With your human eyes and brain:

> **Google's** up there at 23.4% primarily because GCP/Vertex/whatever they're offering is a billing nightmare and the only way to set a hard cap and sure you won't wake up the next day with a $10k bill is via OR.

OpenAI absolutely lets you set a hard or soft cap. I've set them and they've worked, I think one time I saw a $-0.01 balance. Their docs were probably written by ChatGPT. Later in that article it says:

> A spend limit can monitor spend without enforcement, or you can enforce it as a hard limit so API requests fail after spend reaches the limit.

And they still allow the most certain limit, which Google does not: have $0 on your deposited balance and don't have auto-reload enabled, you get 4XXed instead of going into debt (or at least by at most a couple cents).

Although for fun, go ask Gemini how you can set a cap on GCP spend. It'll try to write you a pub-sub client.

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They already sell API access to the model on Google/Microsoft/Amazon cloud. OpenRouter is the same deal. Note that the labs are not giving out model weights to OpenRouter. They are just selling tokens.
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OpenAI/Anthropic/etc don’t establish the direct customer relationship.

And OpenRouter can steer traffic away from those labs over to their own model.

The major labs don’t get personalized data about the user to train on, since it’s aggregated.

Which is just some of the reasons why strategically it doesn’t seem in their best interest to allow a middle person.

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It's a land grab. Right now none of them have a dominant position. Much better to get mind share and market share now. They can always squeeze the value chain later. And whoever wins surely will.
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Quite frankly, the proprietary company's products are no longer good enough for them to be able to enforce a moat. The scene is popping and nobody is satisfied staying with one provider. If they stopped selling via Openrouter, the 18.2% of Openrouter's revenue that currently goes to OpenAI or the 23.4% of their revenue that goes to Google would probably dry up. Some people would switch back, but those who are happy to juggle multiple budgets and endpoints and API key management infrastructure are already doing so to avoid Openrouter's 5-10% cut. This is really evident at any $bigco where you can wait for weeks for a purchase order, needing leadership's approval and accounting's "I'll get to it when I get to it."

> OpenAI/Anthropic/etc don’t establish the direct customer relationship.

But they also don't have to pay to support and maintain the direct customer relationship and all the billing, support, liability, etc. The credit card merchant fee (a not insubstantial % at scale) is paid by Openrouter (or Stripe now) and the bill Openrouter pays to OpenAI is transferred probably via wire or something with a lot less fees. Meanwhile if you're paying OpenAI via credit card directly, OpenAI is paying Stripe or whoever.

> And OpenRouter can steer traffic away from those labs over to their own model.

The inverse is also true. If you've deposited money on a Openrouter account, you've taken a very big step across their proprietary moat. Would the proprietary companies rather lose them as a customer forever, or be able to entice them back, which can be done with a single change of a JSON parameter?

> The major labs don’t get personalized data about the user to train on, since it’s aggregated.

(Edit: Looked it up, Openrouter does send a pseudonymous but stable hashed userid upstream, stable across different API keys in the same account [0]. That makes de-identification a lot easier.)

First, a lot of the corporate use is getting ZDRed, so there's nothing to track without going back on zero data retention.

De-identification was trivial for normal web traffic before LLMs. Think of all the crap people's harnesses and claws send without de-identifying. Many coding agents can't help themselves from scanning your home directory.

Sure, the type of person to comment on HN probably has good hygene, but the typical vibe coder doesn't even know what they're leaking.

[0] https://openrouter.ai/docs/cookbook/administration/user-trac...

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When the market settles down, most of the money is going to be in bulk inference, for batch jobs. In 5 years everyone's laptop will be able to run Qwen 3.8 27B for coding tasks, but businesses will still need to run inference 24/7. Very few people will still need SOTA models once you can run an Opus 4.6 class model on your laptop.
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