Nobody said otherwise, even the video linked talks about talent (which might be also seen as luck!) and hard working. Say you have 100 people, and you pre-select the 10 hardworkers, that "hardwork" between 98 and 100% capacity: even if luck only accounts for 5% of the success, it doubles the 2% you can still extract from hardwork. Of course, someone that only works at 30% capacity has to be immensenly lucky to overcome the 70% they have until the 100%.

Of the 10 most talented and hardworking people above, I bet they have wildy different advise other than "do hardwork": use more LLM, use less LLM, keep away from computers, etc. And we are talking 1 in 100, not 1 in 1,000,000!

It comes to mind someone like Kary Mullis. He was no dumb, but I wont put him either at the peak of talented or even hard working people in the field. Yet, he was "lucky" enough to invent the PCR, which earned him deservedly the Nobel Price. Now that he was made to believe that he is some kind of illuminated and well above the top human, he started giving (at the bare minimum wrong, probably even dangerous) "advise" left, right and center: take LSD, astrology works, extraterrestial glowing racoons exist, etc. Downtune the guy a notch or two, and you can find thousands of Kary Mullis around giving useless advise as they were messiahs.