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> they have chosen to because it benefits them

Or perhaps they've chosen to do this because they feel they have a responsibility to do so.

We understand this when tech companies publish postmortems of outages and security incidents--that it's an attempt to fulfill an obligation to users and the industry (and in some cases regulators), not marketing about how in-demand their product is or something. As far as I can tell we generally accept this as a default hypothesis even from companies led by people like Elon, Zuck and Kalanick--in part because we understand that these companies have thousands of employees, most of whom aren't marketers. Why are we uniquely conspiratorial about OpenAI?

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I am not uniquely skeptical about OpenAI. I was including skepticism about Anthropic as well in my post.

But for that matter, I do believe that big tech companies do not release all the postmortems publicly. I have been impacted by regional outages that never made the status pages across more than one provider. When it goes up - they are committing to publicizing the postmortem.

The whole industry is filled with fuckery. It is not specific to frontier AI firms.

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> It feels like we're in a moment of, "No such thing as bad publicity"

It seems likely that's how the marketing at the frontier labs initially read the moment, but I don't think it is that moment. It is an open question how much regulation is warranted and there seems to be a very strong sentiment from the public and legislators that it should be significant.

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The big bet is that the regulations are going to be so onerous that it pulls up the ladder from anyone other than the well-funded players. It's classic regulatory capture. They aren't very subtle about this, it's the whole point of their fear mongering and "but China" messaging.
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