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> cascading overload

I'd bet more on this. For one none of the coding tools have exponential backoff on retries

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They must do, surely? I've been vibe coding my own harness, in particular for use with Ox Alpha. The 429 downtime when Ox Alpha was at the height of popularity quickly gave me a refresher crash course on backoff strategies, like adding jitter to the backoff. At least the major harnesses must have exponential backoff & jitter?
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You did this when you ran into an issue with a third party. The developers building this tool, throwing them at their own APIs are significantly less likely to run into a similar issue that may inspire similar action.
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Claude Code: 4mn, 20mn, give up (from my experience today)
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deleted
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Everyone is leasing datacenter space from some of Grok, Google, and Amazon aren't they? If it's hardware or DC level disruption I'm not too surprised it can affect multiple providers.
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Also it's likely that more than one model use is common.

Amazon starts going slow so some percentage switches to Google, some switch to Grok, now all of them are slow.

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Come on. Things still break. Technology isn't _that_ mature.
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I think is just people restarting conversations from last day when they start work, that's why I think claude goes down almost every monday and why openai reset usage on weekends so poweruser code during non business hours
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Except that the stock market is up today
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And also China. Never rule out China.
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