They seem to have not yet come to believe the "is" part.
AI as it is now and as it will be projected into the future WILL automate many skills. But not all skills. MANY MANY people will retain skills that cannot be replaced by AI. One career track that will be replaced is definetely the SWE. Or at least massively reduced in capacity if not eliminated all together.
Thought experiment: If no thought workers are needed to design or engineer a Ferrari, what is needed? My answer is time and natural resources (include energy).
job depends on how CEO feeling about cutting NN% of headcount because of AI advancement
This is such a childish take I hear getting thrown around all the time on the internet. If you really have just been listening to whoever is telling you how to be successful, then you were always doomed to fail at some point. Like, have some self-respect and own your own life, for better or worse.
>Those of us who made the mistake of studying anything other than machine learning. How will we make a living?
Take it from someone who studied machine learning specifically: nobody is safe if you assume these companies are going to produce a product that will put everybody else out of business. If AI is going to take your job, then it's gonna take enough jobs that your problems will not be personal but systematic.
Yes, these problems are systematic. That is what I am saying. That doesn't make it any nicer.
I have a strong suspicion that many of those comments are written by people who are already financially independent, have millions in stocks, and can just sit back, coast around and watch this whole spectacle unfold while using LLMs to vibe-code their next fun side projects without a shadow of anxiety about their own future.
I’ll most likely be labelled a helpless doomer and downvoted into oblivion for saying this, but I genuinely struggle to see any silver lining here.
Because of this, I don't think many are thinking "90% of the world won't have a source of livelihood but that just means I chill at my lake house for the next 20 years like a normal retirement". Instead, it's usually either "I think AI is overhyped", "I think humanity will figure something out", or "I think this is the end of humanity".
AI is only going to get better and do more with less humans in the loop over time.
That said, I do also relate to the "coding was never the hard part"-type arguments, and much of my day is spent on the stuff in between writing code.. but still.
most swes don't work in jobs where they only work on bounded measurable tasks. there will probably be more "engineers" than ever
> How will we make a living?
Swap to a career path that requires physical automation, since we're still about 10-20 years out on that front.My backup plan is being a personal trainer.
> There are a bunch of companies actively working in bringing AI into robots, so they can make your dishes.
I know, I'm excited to buy the first relatively affordable ones. > Also, if enough people are going for the same backup plan it might not work out.
Sure, could happen. You can't really plan for the future -- we like to think we can, but the best you can do is set your goals and deal with the hand life gives you along the way. > Why should anyone book you as a personal trainer instead of the other 500 guys in town.
I'm not particularly worried about this, but that's an individual thing based on network/connections and life history that doesn't apply to everyone.But my wife and I have been homeless before, so living on a shoestring budget in anything nicer than a tent is acceptable living conditions to me.
I am sure I will be plenty comfy no matter how the world changes.
AIs are really good at being personal trainers and seem to be far more educated and informed than most I know.
Don't be selfish. Think first of all the jobs that are already dead. A friend of mine she's a translator: like translating financial documents between french/english/spanish. It's over for her: she doesn't get 10% of the gigs she used to get and the 10% she gets is... Verifying AI output.
Think of the artists: I'm sorry for those too, for for many it's already game over today.
> How will we make a living?
A friend of mine who's got his own software-consultancy SME is now advertising on LinkedIn that he'll also help your company fix the mess LLMs created.
That's how you'll make a living: by learning, in addition to all you've already learned, how you work with harnesses and LLMs to be more productive, by learning what they're good at and what they suck big fat balls at.
It’s an interesting moment in history, people 35+ yrs old seem to be less afraid if tech because we learned that things change in the way we work. People below this age got used to fact that the work and tech doesn’t change - just because for the last 10-15 years it didn’t.
The threat is that the very kernel of value you had is gone forever. There is no more differential leverage.