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Chollet writes he expects AGI now sooner than 2030, "given progress is happening faster than I expected."

https://x.com/fchollet/status/2095607046129463577

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Pretty efficiently, apparently, since it saturated ARC-AGI-3 in half of the predicted time, and according to the Chollet blog post on the fly created dense DSLs to describe and analyze individual games.
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They can do new tasks with in-context learning but its obviously limited by context window
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