- write a well-received book, write a best-seller
- come up with a new company idea, Run that company
- actually have a decent conversation, maybe someday talk somebody out of suicide effectively
- come up with its own ideas or theories that nobody else has presented
- understand the stock market well enough to trade better than an index fund
I just picked the first few from the top of the list. The average human has probably not done any of them.
Yes, average humans are not beating the stock market. But the average human is a bit better than you give credit to.
The average human has never published a bestselling book. A person who has published a bestselling book is an above-average writer. And, therefore, an artificial intelligence capable of writing a bestselling book would be above an average human at the task of writing books. Therefore, somewhere beyond an AGI.
Attempting to redefine AGI to "being better than most humans at most tasks" is moving the goalposts towards artificial superintelligence.
I think LLMs are really impressive, but I suspect that we might have overpaid just a bit.