The (unprovable, yes, without OpenAI being willingly transparent) argument is that openAI constructed a prompt to scoop them using some inside knowledge about the approach, which they allude to in the announcement.

In the transcripts, Brubeck is very cagey and evasive about the prompt, when it was supplied, and its contents.

I'm curious how many other 300 billion output tokens OpenAI has "paid for" that have resulted in no breakthroughs.

Either they had a pretty good idea that investing this type of money in that compute on a model in training would lead to these specific results, or they gambled with other people's money.

I want to hear about the gambles and expenditures they don't brag about. In America's energy economy, there's finite resources to expend.