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I think automation is coming but it will be way more gnarly than frontier labs want public to believe. Value is just too big, when you can automate most of eg customer support it will create huge savings and same time customer satisfaction will get better.
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> This plus the memory issues make dreams of long horizon agents, that could plausibly handle changing specifications, quite implausible with current architectures.

Any reason why that can't be solved through context management and keep-forward scaffolding?

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Write the same sentence you just wrote back to me, but in only four words and let’s see if it has the same meaning.
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Remember specifics, keep going.
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"Any reason why that can't be solved through context management and keep-forward scaffolding?"

becomes

"load bearing context seam"

/s

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