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The future for whom? The general public? Not a chance, no way, not unless it's able to run on a phone (anywhere from 20-40% of internet users, world-wide, are phone-only).

For companies? I think that's a lot more plausible, as that's mostly just a question of money - is it cheaper to run and administrate our own models, or outsource that?

For technically inclined users? I think that's unlikely unless they're able to operate on relatively cheap hardware while still being just as good as the hosted models. And by that I don't mean "a mac studio," that's far more money than I think is reasonable. A single RTX 5080, maybe, once memory prices start to drop.

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Compare the games your average high-end smartphone can run to the AAA titles of the 2010's. It's not a matter of "unless it is able to" but "when it is able to".
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that's not a local LLM. If it's local, it doesn't matter in this case. Laya is a System 1 "AI", namely works like a classifier, given a state and questions, it shoots probabilities for each. I publish an episode tomorrow about Laya and Typesafe AI on https://www.youtube.com/@DataScienceatHome

Stay tuned ;)

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cool, will check it
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It won't. Laya is a finetuned version of Google's BeRT model, which is almost 10 years old right now.

If BeRT had any potential to disrupt the datacenter buildout, it already would have.

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Modernbert is from 2024. It's also trained from scratch, not a fine tune.
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