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by EA-31673 hours ago |
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upvoteby glub52 minutes ago|
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Nearly the entire reason we're in this mess is because RAM/SSD/HDD makers are terrified of AI bubble bursting.

Long-term contracts, not building new fabs - they're in full on hedging mode right now.

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upvoteby bethekidyouwant3 hours ago|
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Since you’re not greedy when there is a memory glut I’m sure you’ll be willing to pay extra to make it fair.
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upvoteby EA-31673 hours ago|
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Not at all, I’m going to relax with a cooling drink and watch the consequences of this unbelievably destructive and wasteful venture implode. I also adore the idea that it's on the customer to be "fair" to a company that dumped us a group in favor of chasing B2B money.

Their choice, their consequences.

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upvoteby pixl972 hours ago|
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Internet is a fad, it will implode at any moment.
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upvoteby EA-31672 hours ago|
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In fact as a business opportunity it did just that because the massive investment in the mid-late 1990's was without anything like a connection to profitability or sustainable demand. It took years after that crash for the concept of e-commerce to begin both a recovery and evolution into what we see today.

I expect something similar for AI. It's useful tech... just not very profitable tech, and certainly not to the tune of trillions of dollars worth of public demand. The promises of superintelligence, replacing everyone, and the rest of the hype will die with the companies who made the promises, but the tech will survive and thrive.

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upvoteby pixl972 hours ago|
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>The promises of superintelligence, replacing everyone, and the rest of the hype will die with the companies who made the promises

The hype will die but there are many reasons why super intelligence and robots are a separate entity from said hype.

Look, back a few decades and tell someone our gdp would be in the trillions and it's likely they'd have a hard time believing you. A huge portion of our products that we use day to day would be complete science fiction to them.

All we're negotiating at this point is the timescale it will take.

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upvoteby card_zero1 hours ago|
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Unpredictable things happen routinely, therefore these specific unpredictable things will happen?
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upvoteby pixl971 hours ago|
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These things aren't really unpredictable. Work long enough on a robot with more dexterity and you will get just that. The timetable on when it happens is a bit more up in the air, economic downturns and wars can have huge impacts on it.

But in my mind robots and superintelligence are inevitable unless there is a massive setback in humanity before then. Nature already did it once. We're not inventing something totally new. Add in every new invention and bit of intelligence we build on and actualize pushes us that much closer to the goal. Information technology allows this to speed up even further with easy sharing of information and testing.

Superintelligence is not like faster than light travel. We have many frameworks that show us FTL is impossible. I don't believe there is a single widely accepted framework that shows there is some limit to intelligence and we're near it. Intelligence isn't even a singular thing. My calculator is a super intelligent adder compared to me. It would seem highly improbable that somehow nature random walked into making brains the most efficient general intelligence device in all dimensions and scales.

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